The article serves as a follow-up to the theses of EU Fishing Fleet Adjustment to Marine Bioresources — Regulations and Finance(Prawo Morskie XXIX).
The law regarding the subject is contentious and sparks off varying interpretation in administrative practice and case-law, including that of the Supreme Administrative Court. The article criticizes this portion of law and formulates conclusions de lege ferenda.
The article is an attempt to evaluate accuracy of Marx’s predictions and to present some reasons for Marx’s ineffectiveness as a forecaster. The article discusses contemporary research on forecasting, uses the results to Marx, and analyses the dialectic aspect of laws in order to explain forecasting weaknesses of Marx. The author of Capital turns out to be – in P.E. Tetlock’s typology – a ‘hedgehog’, i.e.: a bad forecaster, who uses questionable methods to defend his predictions at all costs.