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Abstract

Metallurgy is one of the key industries both in Russia and in the world. It has a significant influence on the situation in related industries. Therefore, the current state analysis of ferrous metallurgy production and its formation based on the short-term technological forecast is essential. Based on the foregoing, the research was aimed at analyzing the current state of ferrous metallurgy production in Russia and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the prospects for industry development in the short term. The research studies the state of the ferrous metallurgy production in Russia and abroad before the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the volume of industrial production in ferrous metallurgy and the industry structure. The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered a serious global recession, necessitating an analysis of the forecast for the development of the ferrous metallurgy industry. The research concludes that the Russian ferrous metals market is so far affected to a lesser extent compared to the European one.
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Bibliography

[1] Ryabov, I.V. (2013). Institutional factors of economic development in the steel industry in the Russian Federation. Ekonomika: vchera, segodnya, zavtra. 7-8, 59-71.
[2] Shatokha, V. (2016). Post-Soviet issues and sustainability of iron and steel industry in Eastern Europe. Mineral Processing and Extractive Metallurgy. 126, 1-8.
[3] MIT Emerging Trends Report (2013). Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Retrieved from http://2013.forinnovations.org/upload/MIT_Technology_Review.pdf.
[4] Cuhls, K. (2003). From forecasting to foresight processes. new participative foresight activities in Germany. Journal of Forecasting. 22, 93-111.
[5] Harrington, E.C.Jr. (1965). The desirability function. Industrial quality control. 21(1), 494-498.
[6] Profile. 2017/2018. World steel association. Retrieved from https://www.worldsteel.org/en/dam/jcr:cea55824-c208-4d41-b387-6c233e95efe5/worldsteel+Profile+2017.pdf.
[7] World Steel Association (2018). Monthly crude steel and iron production statistics. Retrieved from https://www.worldsteel.org/publications/bookshop/productdetails.~2018-Monthly-crude-steel-and-iron-productionstatistics~PRODUCT~statistics2018~.html.
[8] Metalinfo.ru (2018). China continues to cut off excessive capacity. Retrieved from http://www.metalinfo.ru/ru/news/100765.
[9] World Steel Association (2017). Steel Statistical Yearbook 2017. Retrieved from https://www.worldsteel.org/en/dam/jcr:3e275c73-6f11-4e7f-a5d8-23d9bc5c508f/Steel% 2520Statistical%2520Yearbook%25202017_updated%2520version090518.pdf.
[10] World Steel Association (2017). 50 years of the World Steel Association. World Steel Association. Retrieved from https://www.worldsteel.org/en/dam/jcr:80fe4bd6-4eff-4690-96e6-534500d35384/50%2520years%2520of%2520worldsteel_EN.pdf.
[11] Dudin, M.N., Bezbakh, V.V., Galkina, M.V., Rusakova, E.P., Zinkovsky, S.B. (2019). Stimulating Innovation Activity in Enterprises within the Metallurgical Sector: the Russian and International Experience. TEM Journal. 8(4), 1366-1370.
[12] Kharlamov, A.S. (2012). Competitiveness issues of metallurgy. Position of Russia. Monograph. Moscow: Nauchnaya Kniga.
[13] Golubev, S.S, Chebotarev, S.S., Sekerin, V.D. & Gorokhova, A.E. (2017). Development of Employee Incentive Programmes regarding Risks Taken and Individual performance. International Journal of Economic Research. 14(7), 37-46.
[14] Deloitte (2020). Overview of the ferrous metallurgy market. Retrieved from https://www2.deloitte.com/ru/ru/pages/research-center/articles/overview-of-steel-and-ironmarket-2020.html.
[15] Katunin, V.V., Zinovieva, N.G., Ivanova, I.M., Petrakova, T.M. (2021). The main performance indicators of the ferrous metallurgy of Russia in 2020. Ferrous metallurgy. Bulletin of Scientific. Technical and Economic Information. 77(4), 367- 392. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32339/0135-5910-2021-4-367-392.
[16] National Credit Ratings (NCR) (2021). The metamorphoses of the pandemic. The forecast of recovery of the Russian economy branches as of June 2, 2021. Analytical Research. June 2, 2021. Retrieved from https://www.ratings.ru/files/research//corps/NCR_Recovery_Jun2021.pdf 24.
[17] Mingazov, S. (2021). Russian metallurgists have doubled payments to the budget. Forbes. Retrieved from https://www.forbes.ru/newsroom/biznes/430855-rossiyskiemetallurgi-udvoili-vyplaty-v-byudzhet.
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Authors and Affiliations

S.S. Golubev
1
V.D. Sekerin
1
A.E. Gorokhova
1
D.A. Shevchenko
1
A.Z. Gusov
2

  1. Moscow Polytechnic University, Bolshaya Semenovskaya Street, 38, Moscow, 107023, Russian Federation
  2. Peoples Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University), Miklukho-Maklaya Street, 6, Moscow, 117198, Russian Federation
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Abstract

The purpose of the study is to analyze the current state of the cast iron production and to predict production volume and cost in the near future based on the analysis results. Cast iron is one of the most common materials used in various industrial sectors. Cast iron scrap processing is the least expensive and saves both money and time. It is produced both in Russia and abroad and is one of the export types. Cast iron production significantly influences other industrial sectors. All this confirms the relevance of the study. The novelty of the study consists in the identification of the leaders among the cast-iron producers in the world and Russian metallurgical companies, as well as the determination of trends in its production at the present stage of economic development. The increasing consolidation level of cast iron producers has been revealed: China, India, Japan, and Russia represented 85% of the cast iron global production in 2019. In Russia, nine metallurgical companies account for 80% of cast iron production. In general, cast iron production in the world is stable and the import share of cast iron is about 4%. Cast iron prices tend to decline. The work identifies the lower and upper limits of the possible range of the cast iron prices. The authors conclude that the declining prices of cast iron in Russia may make its production unprofitable.
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Bibliography

[1] Arab, N. (2017). Competitive nucleation in grey cast irons. Archives of Foundry Engineering. 17(4), 185-189.
[2] Metalbulletin.ru (2020). Cast iron: the first candidate for decline? Retrieved from: https://www.metalbulletin.ru/a/101.
[3] Hannapel, J. & Schmeisse, C. (2020). New EPA air emissions standards for iron and steel foundries. Modern Casting. 11, 42-45.
[4] Lipshaw, J. (2020). Environmental impact across their life cycles. Modern Casting, 10, 34-38.
[5] Promzn.ru (2020). Features of steel production: methods, technologies and raw materials. Retrieved from: https://promzn.ru/metallurgiya/proizvodstvo-stali.html.
[6] Stroiset.ru (2020). Analysis and trends in the development of the cast iron market. Retrieved from: https://www.stroiset.ru/analiz-i-tendencii-razvitiya-rynka-chuguna.
[7] Metallurgicheskii byulleten (2020). Chugunnye reki i rucheiki. [Cast iron rivers and rivulets. Metallurgical bulletin]. Retrieved from: https://www.metaltorg.ru/analytics /black/?id=759/.
[8] MIT Emerging Trends Report (2013). Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Retrieved from: http://2013.forinnovations.org/upload/MIT_Technology_Review.pdf.
[9] World Steel Association. 50 years of the World Steel Association. Retrieved from: https://www.worldsteel.org/ publications/bookshop/product-details.~50-years-of-the-World-Steel-Association~PRODUCT~50-years-of-the-World-Steel-Association~.html.
[10] Metallosnabzhenie i sbyt: internet-zhurnal. (2018). Kitai prodolzhit sokrashchenie izbytochnykh moshchnostei. [China will continue to reduce excess capacity. Metal supply and sales]. Retrieved from: http://www.metalinfo.ru/ru/ news/100765.
[11] Shatokha, V. (2016). Post-Soviet issues and sustainability of ferrous metallurgy in Eastern Europe. Mineral Processing and Extractive Metallurgy, 3, 1-8.
[12] Businesstat (2017). Analiz mirovogo rynka chuguna v 2012-2016 gg, prognoz na 2017-2021 gg [Analysis of the global cast iron market between 2012 and 2016; the outlook for the period from 2017 to 2021]. Retrieved from: https://marketing.rbc.ru/research/39673//
[13] Profile 2018/2019. World Steel Association [electronic resource] Retrieved from: https://www.worldsteel.org/ publications/bookshop/product-details.~Profile-2017-2018~PRODUCT~Profile2017~.html.
[14] Steel Statistical Yearbook 2019. World Steel Association [electronic resource] Retrieved from: http:// https://www.worldsteel.org/publications/bookshop/product-details.~Steel-Statistical-Yearbook-2017~PRODUCT~SSY2017~.html.
[15] ACG (2020). Rynok chuguna v Rossii. Tekushchaya situatsiya i prognoz 2020-2024 gg. [Cast iron market in Russia. The current situation and the outlook for the period from 2020 to 2024]. Retrieved from: https://alto-group.ru/otchot/rossija/380-rynok-chuguna-tekushhaya-situaciya-i-prognoz-2014-2018-gg.html/.

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Authors and Affiliations

S.S. Golubev
1
V.D. Sekerin
1
A.E. Gorokhova
1
G.V. Komlatskiy
2
Y.I. Arutyunyan
2

  1. Moscow Polytechnic University, Bolshaya Semenovskaya Street, 38, Moscow, 107023, Russia
  2. Kuban State Agrarian University, Kalinina Street, 13, Krasnodar, 350044, Russia

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