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Abstract

The results of statistic estimation of measurements done within surface waters monitoring programme were described. The biogens concentrations (the years 1994-1998) and the oxygen indicators (the years 1992-1996) in the measurement point on Odra river in Krajnik Dolny constituted the date base. The time changeability of these indicators was well described by Jog-normal and gamma distributions was shown. The normalised distributions were also given.The autocorrelation and the periodicity were examined. It was stated that the considered time sequences were characterised by the strong autocorrelation and the periodicity. Using the ARIMA process the modelling of measurement series was realised. After the selection of models, the programming of examined indicators changes was accomplished. It was shown that using ARIMA models valuable results can be obtained.
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Authors and Affiliations

Jerzy Straszko
Marzena Jastrzębska

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