This article describes a thermodynamic analysis of an oxy type power plant. The analyzed power plant consists of: 1) steam turbine for supercritical steam parameters of 600 °C/29 MPa with a capacity of 600 MW; 2) circulating fluidized bed boiler, in which brown coal with high moisture content (42.5%) is burned in the atmosphere enriched in oxygen; 3) air separation unit (ASU); 4) CO2 capture installation, where flue gases obtained in the combustion process are compressed to the pressure of 150 MPa. The circulated fluidized bed (CFB) boiler is integrated with a fuel dryer and a cryogenic air separation unit. Waste nitrogen from ASU is heated in the boiler, and then is used as a coal drying medium. In this study, the thermal efficiency of the boiler, steam cycle thermal efficiency and power demand were determined. These quantities made possible to determine the net efficiency of the test power plant.
The paper looks at an analysis of the tendency of changes in the fuel structure of electricity
generation and thus resulting changes in carbon dioxide emissions. Forecasts drawn up by various
institutions and organizations were selected for the analysis. Firstly, on the basis of statistical data
contained in (IEA 2017a, IEA 2008) and with the use of Kay’s indicators, the impact of changes in
energy intensity of the national income and energy mix on changes in carbon dioxide emissions per
capita in 2006–2015 for the OECD countries and Poland were analyzed. A small effect of changes
was found in the fuel mix in this period of time on the emissions. The main impact was due to changes
in the energy intensity of the national income and changes in the national income per capita.
Next, selected fuel scenarios for the period up to 2050 (60) were discussed – WEC, IEA, EIA, BP,
Shell, with a focus on the WEC scenarios. These have been developed for various assumptions with
regard to the pace of economic development, population growth, and developments of the political
situation and the situation on the fuel market. For this reason, it is difficult to assess the reliability
thereof. The subject of the discussion was mainly the data on the fuel structure of electricity generation
and energy intensity of national income and changes in carbon dioxide emissions. The final
part of the paper offers a general analysis of forecasts drawn up for Poland. These are quite diverse,
with some of them being developed as part of drawing up the Energy Policy for Poland until 2050,
and some covering the period up to 2035. An observation has been made that some forecasts render
results similar to those characteristic of the WEC Hard Rock scenario.
The progressive processes of globalization and changes in the global, European and local economy require integrated efforts aimed at solving problems related to development at the national regional and the local level involving the environment, energy sources, climate and technological transformation issues. European Union Member States are given right to create an individual Energy mix. Coal will continue to play a major role in Poland’s energy mix during the next decades. Polish coal reserves can provide energy security for decades.
Despite crude oil and natural gas growth in fuel consumption, coal will continue to be the stabilizer of energy security for the country and play an important role in Poland’s energy mix in the years to come. However, further coal consumption requires investments in low carbon technologies which are of high efficiency and in high-efficiency cogeneration.
The validity of the full utilization of cogeneration potential should be highlighted. Operating cogeneration plants are more expensive than power plants but they are more efficient and generate less carbon emissions. In accordance with the assumptions of the Energy policy of Poland, a low-carbon economy with renewable Energy sources and nuclear Energy should be supported and developed, however the obsolete coal generators should be replaced with low-carbon high-efficient ones.
The paper presents a brief outline of the European Union Climate and Energy Package in early 2020, as well as the EU’s plans in this respect until 2030 (Winter Package and Green Deal) and even further until 2050 (EU’s climate neutral target). Also the current condition of power generation in Poland and challenges for Polish energy sector in the nearest future are discussed. The Energy Policy of Poland until 2040 (EPP 2040) is analysed in relation to possible risks and dangers. Some improvements are proposed in regard to the implementation of the document. In addition, the current volume and perspectives of hard coal and lignite mining in Poland until 2040 are discussed and compared with an expected demand for coal in Polish power plants and combined heat and power stations. On the basis of the prognosis of energy consumption in the period 2031-2040, there seems to appear a serious risk of energy shortage due to a possible delay in a nuclear power project and lack of lignite mining at the level defined in EPP 2040 policy. Therefore, some variants of providing the security of energy supplies are taken into account and thoroughly analysed in the paper.