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Number of results: 5
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Abstract

The paper evaluates the relationship between the selection of the probability density function and the construction price, and the price of the building's life cycle, in relation to the deterministic cost estimate in terms of the minimum, mean, and maximum. The deterministic cost estimates were made based on the minimum, mean, and maximum prices: labor rates, indirect costs, profit, and the cost of equipment and materials. The net construction prices received were given different probability density distributions based on the minimum, mean, and maximum values. Twelve kinds of probability distributions were used: triangular, normal, lognormal, beta pert, gamma, beta, exponential, Laplace, Cauchy, Gumbel, Rayleigh, and uniform. The results of calculations with the event probability from 5 to 95% were subjected to the statistical comparative analysis. The dependencies between the results of calculations were determined, for which different probability density distributions of price factors were assumed. A certain price level was assigned to specific distributions in 6 groups based on the t-test. It was shown that each of the distributions analyzed is suitable for use, however, it has consequences in the form of a final result. The lowest final price is obtained using the gamma distribution, the highest is obtained by the beta distribution, beta pert, normal, and uniform.

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Authors and Affiliations

M. Rogalska
J. Żelazna-Pawlicka
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Abstract

The problem of query selectivity estimation for database queries is critical for efficientquery execution by database management systems. A query execution method strongly depends on earlyestimated size of a query result. This estimation determines a data access method used later during thequery execution. The selectivity parameter is a fraction of table rows that satisfy a single-table querycondition. For a selection condition of a range query where an attribute has a continuous domain, theselectivity is equivalent to a definite integral form probability density function (PDF) of attribute valuesdistribution. For a compound selection condition based on many attributes we need a multidimensionalspace-efficient non-parametric estimator of multivariate PDF of attribute values distribution. A knownapproach based on Discrete Cosine Transform (DCT) spectrum as an representation of multidimensionalPDF is considered. The energy compaction property of DCT lets omit a region of spectrum coefficientswith small absolute values without significant losing an accuracy of selectivity estimation. An area ofrelevant spectrum coefficients is called a sampling zone. Results of experiments from previous worksshows that applying the reciprocal shape of the sampling zone gives the least selectivity estimation errorsubject to a predetermined size of the zone. The main result of this work is a theoretical confirmation of onlyexperimental results from previous works. The paper presents the proof of the theorem that the reciprocalshape of the sampling zone is asymptotically error-optimal. The proof is based on calculus of variationsand the isoperimetric problem.

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Authors and Affiliations

Dariusz R. Augustyn
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Abstract

In the paper, the Hasofer-Lind index is applied for determining the probability of stability loss oftruss structure under random load. In 1974 Hasofer-Lind proposed a modified reliability index thatdid not exhibit the invariance problem. The “correction” is the evaluation the limit state functionat a point known as the “design point”, instead of the mean values. The design point is generallynot known a priori, an iteration technique must be used to find out the reliability index. The papershows how the reliability index changes under the influence of different variables mean value,standard deviation, and probability density function.

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Authors and Affiliations

U. Radoń
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Abstract

The paper presents an experimental confirmation of the fact that if a three-dimensional volume does not contain spherical particles with particular size, the Probability Density Function (PDF1) of half-chord lengths has proportional ranges. This fact has been deduced in work [1] during the derivation process of the Probability Density Function (PDF3) that maps the particle radii on the basis of data (PDF1) collected from flat cross-sections. The experiment has been executed virtually by using a simple computer program written in the C++11 language. The computer generation of particles allowed imposing various kinds of known PDF3 and the ranges in which the particles could not be created. Next, the virtual nodules have been used to produce sets of chords that served as input data to create histograms that approximated the continuous PDF1. Having such histograms, it was possible to reveal proportional scopes of the PDF1. The proportional dependencies occurred in the same ranges where the nodules had not been generated.
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Bibliography

[1] Gurgul, D., Burbelko, A. & Wiktor T. (2021). Derivation of equation for a size distribution of spherical particles in non-transparent materials. Journal of Casting & Materials Engineering. 5(4), 53-60.
[2] Wicksell, S.D. (1925). The corpuscle problem: mathematical study of a biometric problem. Biometric. 17 (1/2), 84-89.
[3] Sheil, E. (1935). Statistische gefügeuntersuchungen I. Zeitschrift für Metallkunde. 27 (9), 199-208.
[4] Schwartz, H.A. (1934). The metallographic determination of the sze distribution of temper carbon nodules. Metals and Alloys. 5, 139-140.
[5] Saltykov, S.A. (1967). The determination of the size distribution of particles in an opaque material from the measurement of the size distribution of their section. in the second international congress for stereology, Chicago, 8-13 April 1967. Berlin–Heidelberg–New York, Springer Verlag.
[6] Cahn, J.W. & Fulmann, R.L. (1956) On the use of lineal analysis for obtaining particle size distributions in opaque samples. Transactions, American Institute of Mining, Metallurgical and Petroleum Engineers. 206, 177-187. [7] Lord, G.W. & Willis, T.F. (1951). Calculation of air bubble size distribution from results of a rosiwal traverse of aerated concrete. ASTM Bulletin. 177, 177-187.
[8] Spektor, A.G. (1950). Analysis of distribution of spherical particles in non-transparent structures. Zavodsk. Lab. 16, 173-177.
[9] https://www.cplusplus.com (date of access 06.06.2021).
[10] Burbelko, A., Gurgul, D., Guzik, E. & Kapturkiewicz, W. (2018). Stereological analysis of the statistical distribution of the size of graphite nodules in DI. Materials Science Forum. 925, 98-103.
[11] Fras, E., Burbelko, A.A. & Lopez, H.F. (1996). Secondary nucleation of eutectic graphite grains. Transactions of the American Foundrymen Society. 104, 1-4.

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Authors and Affiliations

D. Gurgul
1

  1. AGH University of Science and Technology, Kraków, Poland
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Abstract

The Vistulian decline was a period of rapid environmental events. The authors correlated ages of the last Scandinavian Ice Sheet limits in northern Poland with ages of prominent events adapting the conditions of periglacial environment of Central Poland in response to the Late Vistulian climate warming. Ages from previous thematic geological and palaeogeographical studies were collected. The approach used indicates that despite methodological uncertainties and sometimes inconsistency of ages, it is especially helpful in timing of first warming signals (ca. 19–18 cal ka BP) and establishing of environmentally bipartite 3 millennia of the Oldest Dryas in the extraglacial zone. Abrupt warming at the onset of the Bølling-Allerød is well registered in biotic and abiotic archives available from Central Poland and remains in agreement with the large recession of the southern ice sheet margin.

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Authors and Affiliations

Danuta A. Dzieduszyńska
Jacek Forysiak

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