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Abstract

The article presents a methodology for analysing historical gas production data and determining the gas reserves and the petrophysical parameters of a reservoir-aquifer system. These parameters are obtained from a fitting algorithm using production data sets. A forecast of the future field gas production can be created on the calibrated mathematical model basis. The developed method is based on the material balance assumptions and the widely used Fetkovich and van Everdingen-Hurst equations for calculating water influx. To conduct the calculations and analyse production data, the computer application was developed using Python programming language. A user-friendly graphical interface makes the proposed application convenient and intuitive to use. The software was calibrated based on the literature data from the gas field of known parameters and then validated using five case studies of the actual gas fields in the Polish Carpathian Foredeep. From the tests, very high compatibility between the computed and the real field values were obtained. An additional comparison with the commercial program MatBal confirmed the proper functioning of the application.
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Authors and Affiliations

Wojciech Żygas
1
ORCID: ORCID
Jacek Blicharski
1
ORCID: ORCID
Czesław Rybicki
1
ORCID: ORCID

  1. AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Drilling, Oil and Gas, Al. Mickiewicza 30, 30-059 Kraków, Poland
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Abstract

The growth of the global population, urbanization as well as economic and industrial development, affect the continuously increasing demand for mineral aggregates. The current assessed global production of mineral aggregates amounts to 50 billion Mg/year, which statistically approximates 6.5 Mg per an inhabitant of the globe. In terms of consumption volume, water is the only raw material ahead of aggregates. Despite such a great scale, in many countries and regions the extraction and production of aggregates belong to the least regulated sector of human activity. This refers particularly to the countries of A sia, A frica, and North A merica, where both the resources and the extraction of aggregates, particularly of sand and gravels, are either not monitored and registered. It significantly increases the negative impact on the natural environment, due to the destruction of riverbeds and oxbows, coastal erosion, drying up cultivation areas, etc. In the reports, local terminology of aggregates often functions, which makes it difficult to compare them and prepare appropriate balances. In order to regulate the unfavorable situation, one of the main conclusions of the Report (UNEP 2019) is the need of implementing a common requirement to plan and monitor the process of extraction of natural resources. The paper presents the possibility of forecasting the extraction and producing aggregates based on the consumption of cement, i.e. the basic building material. A lthough the analyzed coefficient of mineral aggregate production per unit of cement consumption (production) varies, its advantage is the fact that the production of cement is identified and taken into account in balances of industrial production of the majority of countries, whereas such identification for mineral aggregate production are still lacking.

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Authors and Affiliations

Ireneusz Ryszard Baic
ORCID: ORCID
Wiesław Kozioł
ORCID: ORCID

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