TY - JOUR N2 - The work considers a one-dimensional time series protocol packet intensity, measured on the city backbone network. The intensity of the series is uneven. Scattering diagrams are constructed. The Dickie Fuller test and Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were applied to determine the initial series to the class of stationary or nonstationary series. Both tests confirmed the involvement of the original series in the class of differential stationary. Based on the Dickie Fuller test and Private autocorrelation function graphs, the Integrated Moving Average Autoregression Model model is created. The results of forecasting network traffic showed the adequacy of the selected model. L1 - http://journals.pan.pl/Content/118904/PDF-MASTER/46_3434_Serikov_skl.pdf L2 - http://journals.pan.pl/Content/118904 PY - 2021 IS - No 3 EP - 324 DO - 10.24425/ijet.2021.135983 KW - time series KW - packet intensity KW - Dickie Fuller test KW - Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were KW - forecasting KW - Integrated Moving Average Autoregression Model A1 - Serikov, Tansaule A1 - Zhetpisbayeva, Аinur A1 - Аkhmediyarova, Ainur A1 - Mirzakulova, Sharafat A1 - Kismanova, Aigerim A1 - Tolegenova, Aray A1 - Wójcik, Waldemar PB - Polish Academy of Sciences Committee of Electronics and Telecommunications VL - vol. 67 DA - 2021.09.23 T1 - City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting SP - 319 UR - http://journals.pan.pl/dlibra/publication/edition/118904 T2 - International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications ER -