Trade Implications of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership for Poland's Agri-Food Trade

Journal title

Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics




No 1


Hagemejer, Jan : University of Warsaw, Poland ; Hagemejer, Jan : CASE Center for Economic and Social Research, Warsaw, Poland ; Michałek, Jan Jakub : University of Warsaw, Poland ; Pawlak, Karolina : Poznan University of Life Sciences, Poland



TTIP ; tariff equivalents of NTMs ; general equilibrium models ; partial equilibrium models ; agri-food sector ; Poland

Divisions of PAS

Nauki Humanistyczne i Społeczne




Oddział PAN w Łodzi


[1] Altay S., (2018), Associating Turkey with the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership: A costly (re-) engagement?, The World Economy 41(1), 308–336.
[2] Arndt C., (1996), An Introduction to Systematic Sensitivity Analysis via Gaussian Quadrature, GTAP Technical Paper No 2, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University.
[3] Armington P., (1969), A Theory of Demand for Products Distinguished by Place of Production, Staff Papers – International Monetary Fund 16(1), 159–177.
[4] Bureau J-Ch., Disdier A-C., Emlinger Ch., Felbermayr G., Fontagné L., Fouré J., Jean S., (2014), Risks and opportunities for the EU agri-food sector in a possible EU-US trade agreement, CEPII Research Report No. 2014- 01, CEPII, Paris, available at: etudes/STUD/2014/514007/AGRI_IPOL_STU(2014)514007_EN.pdf.
[5] Bureau J-Ch., Jean S., Matthews A., (2006), The consequences of agricultural trade liberalization for developing countries: distinguishing between genuine benefits and false hopes, World Trade Review 5(2), 225–249.
[6] Cingolani I., Piccardi C., Tajoli L., (2015), Discovering Preferential Patterns in Sectoral Trade Networks, PLoS ONE 10(10), e0140951.
[7] Corong E., Hertel T., McDougall R., Tsigas M., van der Mensbrugghe D., (2017), The Standard GTAP Model, version 7, Journal of Global Economic Analysis 2(1), 1–119.
[8] Eurostat, (2017), ComExt-Eurostat, Eurostat, Brussels, available at:
[9] Fontagné L., Gourdon J., Jean S., (2013), Transatlantic Trade: Whither Partnership, Which Economic Consequences?, CEPII Policy Brief No. 1, CEPII, Paris, available at:
[10] Fontagné L., Guillin A., Mitaritonna C., (2011), Estimations of Tariff Equivalents for the Services Sectors, CEPII Working Papers No. 24, CEPII, Paris, available at:
[11] Francois J., Hall K., (2009), Global Simulation Analysis of Industry-Level Trade Policy: The GSIM model, An Extended Global Simulation Model: Analysis of Tariffs & Anti-Dumping Policy Impacts on Prices, Output, Incomes, and Employment, IIDE Discussion Papers 20090803, Institute for International and Development Economics, Rotterdam, available at: content/wpaper/
[12] Francois J., Manchin M., Norberg H., Pindyuk H., Tomberger P., (2013), Reducing Trans-Atlantic Barriers to Trade and Investment: An Economic Assessment, Final Project Report, March 2013, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London, available at: 2013/march/tradoc_150737.pdf.
[13] Frankel J. A., Romer D., (1999), Does trade cause growth?, American Economic Review 89(3), 379–399.
[14] Gil-Pareja S., Llorca-Vivero R., Martinez-Serrano J. A., (2019), Reciprocal vs nonreciprocal trade agreements: Which have been best to promote exports?, PLoS ONE 14(2), e0210446.
[15] Grant J. H., Lambert D. M., (2008), Do Regional Trade Agreements Increase Members’ Agricultural Trade?, American Journal of Agricultural Economics 90(3), 765–782.
[16] Hagemejer J., (2015), Liberalization of trade flows under TTIP from a small country perspective. The case of Poland, Working Papers 2015-17, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, available at: http://www.
[17] Hagemejer J., Sledziewska K., (2015), Trade barriers in services and merchandise trade in the context of TTIP: Poland, EU and the United States, Mimeo, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, available at: jhagemejer/wp-content/uploads/Hagemejer_Sledziewska_TE2015.pdf.
[18] Hertel T. H., Hummels D., Ivanic M., Keeney R., (2004), How Confident Can We Be in CGE-based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements? GTAP Working Paper No. 26, Center for Global Trade Analysis, West Lafayette, Indiana.
[19] Hndi B. M., Maitah M., Mustofa J., (2016), Trade Impacts of Selected Free Trade Agreements on Agriculture: The Case of Selected North African Countries, Agris on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics 8(3), 39–50.
[20] Hummels D., (2007), Transportation costs and international trade in the second era of globalization, Journal of Economic Perspectives 21(3), 131–154.
[21] Ingco M., (1996), Tariffication in the Uruguay Round: How Much Liberalisation?, The World Economy 19(4), 425–446.
[22] Jammes O., Olarreaga M., (2005), Explaining SMART and GSIM, The World Bank, available at: explaining_smart_and_gsim.pdf.
[23] Lambert D., McKoy S., (2009), Trade Creation and Diversion Effects of Preferential Trade Associations on Agricultural and Food Trade, Journal of Agricultural Economics 60(1), 17–39.
[24] Mayer T., Zignago S., (2011), Notes on CEPII’s distances measures: the GeoDist Database, CEPII Working Papers No. 25, CEPII, Paris, available at: http: //
[25] McDougal R., (2003), A New Regional Household Demand System for GTAP, GTAP Technical Paper 9-1-2003, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University.
[26] Ministry of Economy, (2015), Impact of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) on the Polish economy – based on the CEPR report, Ministry of Economy, Warsaw, available at: TTIP/Stanowisko+Polski+w+glownych+obszarach+negocjacyjnych.Polish.
[27] Park S. C., (2002), Measuring Tariff Equivalents in Cross-Border Trade in Services, Working Paper 02-15, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, Seoul.
[28] Pawlak K., (2016), Tariff barriers to the EU and the US agri-food trade in the view of the TTIP negotiation, [in:] Agrarian Perspectives XXV. Global and European Challenges for Food Production, Agribusiness and Rural Economy. Proceedings of the 25th International Scientific Conference, [ed.:] L. Smutka, Prague, 244-250, available at: r-12193-conference-proceedings.
[29] Roberts D., (1999), Analyzing Technical Trade Barriers in Agricultural Markets: Challenges and Priorities, Agribusiness 15(3), 335–354.
[30] Sun L., Reed M. R., (2010), Impacts of free trade agreements on agricultural trade creation and trade diversion, American Journal of Agricultural Economics 92(5), 1351–1363.
[31] Svatoš M., Smutka L., (2009), Influence of the EU enlargement on the agrarian foreign trade development in member states, Agricultural Economics ( Zemedelská ekonomika) 55(5), 233–249.
[32] Swinbank A., (1999), The role of the WTO and the International Agencies in SPS Standard Setting, Agribusiness 15(3), 323–333.
[33] Tangermann S., (2001), Has the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture WorkedWell?, Working Papers 14586, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
[34] Weyerbrock S., Xia T., (2000), Technical Trade Barriers in US/Europe Agricultural Trade, Agribusiness 16(2), 235–251.
[35] WITS/TRAINS databases, (2015), World Bank, UNCTAD, UNSD, WTO, ITC, available at:
[36] WTO, (2012), A Practical Guide to Trade Policy Analysis, United Nations and World Trade Organization, e/publications_e/wto_unctad12_e.pdf.
[37] WTO, (2017), WTO Tariff Download Facility, WTO, Geneva, available at:
38] WTO, ITC, UNCTAD, (2015), World Tariff Profiles, WTO, ITC, UNCTAD, Geneva 2015, available at: tariff_profiles15_e.pdf.
[39] Xiong B., (2017), The impact of TPP and RCEP on tea exports from Vietnam: the case of tariff elimination and pesticide policy cooperation, Agricultural Economics 48(4), 413–424.
[40] Yi K. M., (2003), Can vertical specialization explain the growth of world trade?, Journal of Political Economy 111(1), 52–102.






DOI: 10.24425/cejeme.2021.137356


Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics; 2021; No 1; 75-103