Tytuł artykułu

Forecasting solar generation in energy systems to accelerate the implementation of sustainable economic development

Tytuł czasopisma

Polityka Energetyczna - Energy Policy Journal




vol. 24


No 3


Sribna, Yevheniia : National University of Water Management and Environmental Engineering, Rivne, Ukraine ; Koval, Viktor : National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine ; Olczak, Piotr : Mineral and Energy Economy Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Kraków, Poland ; Bizonych, Dmytro : Etalontechservice LLC, Kharkiv, Ukraine ; Matuszewska, Dominika : AGH University of Science and Technology, Kraków, Poland ; Shtyrov, Oleksandr : Petro Mohyla Black Sea National University, Mykolaiv


Słowa kluczowe

solar energy ; production and consumption of electricity ; “green” tariff ; disposal of solar panels

Wydział PAN

Nauki Techniczne




Instytut Gospodarki Surowcami Mineralnymi i Energią PAN


Alawaji, S.H. 2001. Evaluation of solar energy research and its applications in Saudi Arabia – 20 years of experience. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 5, pp. 59–77, DOI: 10.1016/S1364-0321(00)00006-X.
Alster et al. 2021 – Alster, G., Brown, S. and Broadbent, H. 2021. Monthly European insights – ember. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-02-05].
BNEF 2021. BNEF Pioneers 2021. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-05-11].
Ciuła et al. 2019 – Ciuła, J., Gaska, K., Siedlarz, D. and Koval, V. 2019. Management of sewage sludge energy use with the application of bi-functional bioreactor as an element of pure production in industry. E3S Web Conf. 123, 1016, DOI: 10.1051/e3sconf/201912301016.
David et al. 2020 – David, T.M., Silva Rocha Rizol, P.M., Guerreiro Machado, M.A. and Buccieri, G.P. 2020. Future research tendencies for solar energy management using a bibliometric analysis, 2000–2019. Heliyon 6, e04452, DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e04452.
ELECTRICITY 2021. ELECTRICITY. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-05-11].
EU Market Outlook... 2020. EU Market Outlook for Solar Power, 2020–2024. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-05-11].
European... 2020. European Pattern Recognition Project. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-05-11].
Gielen et al. 2019 – Gielen, D., Boshell, F., Saygin, D., Bazilian, M.D., Wagner, N. and Gorini, R. 2019. The role of renewable energy in the global energy transformation. Energy Strateg. Rev. 24, 38–50, DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2019.01.006.
Haddad et al. 2019 – Haddad, M., Nicod, J., Mainassara, Y.B., Rabehasaina, L., Al Masry, Z. and Péra, M. 2019. Wind and solar forecasting for renewable energy system using SARIMA-based model. [In:] International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting, Gran Canaria.
Hák et al. 2019 – Hák, T., Janoušková, S. and Moldan, B. 2016. Sustainable Development Goals: A need for relevant indicators. Ecol. Indic. 60, pp. 565–573, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.08.003.
Hayes, J. 2012. A study on the effects of solar power. Fayetteville: University of Arkansas.
Household... 2021. Household electricity prices worldwide in September 2020, by select country. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-05-11].
Hutsaliuk et al. 2020 – Hutsaliuk, O., Koval, V., Tsimoshynska, O., Koval, M. and Skyba, H. 2020. Risk Management of Forming Enterprises Integration Corporate Strategy. TEM J. 9, pp. 1514–1523, DOI: 10.18421/TEM94-26.
IRENA 2020a. Renewable Capacity Statistics 2020. [Online] Agency/Publication/2020/Jun/IRENA_Power_Generation_Costs_2019.pdf [Accessed: 2021-05-11].
IRENA 2020b. Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2019. [Online] Mar/Renewable-Capacity-Statistics-2020 [Accessed: 2021-05-11].
Kaczmarzewski et al. 2019 – Kaczmarzewski, S., Olczak, P. and Halbina, A. 2019. Issues of photovoltaic installation size choice for a hard coal mine. E3S Web of Conferences, DOI: 10.1051/e3s-conf/201912301014.
Kaliappan et al. 2019 – Kaliappan, K., Sankar, M., Karthikeyan, B., Vineeth, B. and Raju, V.C. 2019. Analysis of solar energy technology in leading countries. International Journal of Power Electronics and Drive Systems 10(4), 1995.
Koval et al. 2019a – Koval, V., Sribna, Y. and Gaska, K. 2019a. Energy Cooperation Ukraine–Poland to Strengthen Energy Security. E3S Web Conf. 132, 1009, DOI: 10.1051/e3sconf/201913201009.
Koval et al. 2019b – Koval, V., Sribna, Y., Mykolenko, O. and Vdovenko, N. 2019b. Environmenta concept of energy security solutions of local communities based on energy logistics. 19th Internation- al Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference SGEM 2019, International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference-SGEM. STEF92 Technology, 51 Alexander Malinov blvd, Sofia, 1712, Bulgaria, pp. 283–290, DOI: 10.5593/sgem2019/5.3/S21.036.
Kumar, M. 2020. Social, economic, and environmental impacts of renewable energy resources. [In:] Okedu, K.E. (ed.), Wind Solar Hybrid Renewable Energy System. IntechOpen, DOI: 10.8772/intero-pen77440.
Lewis, N.S. 2016. Research opportunities to advance solar energy utilization. Science 351(6271), pp. 62– –71, DOI: 10.1126/science.aad1920.
Majchrzak et al. 2021 – Majchrzak, K., Olczak, P., Matuszewska, D. and Wdowin, M. 2021. Economic and environmental assessment of the use of electric cars in Poland. Energy Policy Journal 24, pp. 153–168.
Mikhno et al. 2021 – Mikhno, I., Koval, V., Shvets, G., Garmatiuk, O. and Tamosiuniene, R. 2021. Green Economy in Sustainable Development and Improvement of Resource Efficiency. Cent. Eur. Bus. Rev. 10, pp. 99–113, DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.252.
Mirowski, T. and Sornek, K. 2015. Potential of prosumer power engineering in Poland by example of micro PV installation in private construction. Energy Policy Journal 18, pp. 73–84.
Mulatu, M.A. 2017. Energy cooperation in communication of energy harvesting tags. AEU – Int. J. Electron. Commun. 71, pp. 145–151, DOI: 10.1016/j.aeue.2016.10.016.
Najmabadi, S. 2021. Texans blindsided by massive electric bills await details of Gov. Greg Abbott’s promised relief. Texas Trib. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-05- -11].
Ohta, H. 2020. The Analysis of Japan’s Energy and Climate Policy from the Aspect of Anticipatory Governance. Energies 13(19), DOI: 10.3390/en13195153.
Olczak et al. 2021 – Olczak, P., Olek, M., Matuszewska, D., Dyczko, A. and Mania, T. 2021. Monofacial and Bifacial Micro PV Installation as Element of Energy Transition – The Case of Poland. Energies 14(2), DOI: 10.3390/en14020499.
Owusu, P.A. and Asumadu-Sarkodie, S. 2016. A review of renewable energy sources, sustainability issues and climate change mitigation. Cogent Eng. 3, 1167990, DOI: 10.1080/23311916.2016.1167990.
Pattanaik et al. 2020 – Pattanaik, D., Mishra, S., Khuntia, G.P., Dash, R. and Swain, S.C. 2020. An innovative learning approach for solar power forecasting using genetic algorithm and artificial neural network. Open Eng. 10, pp. 630–641, DOI: 10.1515/eng–2020-0073.
Ravirajan, P. 2017. Solar energy for sustainable development in developing countries. Ceylon Journal of Science 46(2), DOI: 10.4038/cjs.v46i2.7424.
Renewable energy 2021. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-05-11].
Shahsavari, A. and Akbari, M. 2018. Potential of solar energy in developing countries for reducing energy- related emissions. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 90, pp. 275–291, DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.065
Solar... 2021. Solar Industry Research Data. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-02-21].
Spillias et al. 2020 – Spillias, S., Kareiva, P., Ruckelshaus, M. and McDonald-Madden, E. 2020. Renewable energy targets may undermine their sustainability. Nat. Clim. Chang. 10, pp. 974–976. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00939-x.
Sustainability... 2019. Sustainability Leadership Standard for Photovoltaic Modules and Photovoltaic Inverters, 2019. Michigan. The IPCC’s reports 2021. Intergov. Panel Clim. Chang. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-02-21].
Total installed... 2020. Total installed power capacity by fuel and technology 2019–2025, main case. Int. Energy Agency. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-02-21].
Transforming... 2015. Transforming Our World: An Agenda for Sustainable Development until 2030. United Nation. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-02-21].
Tsimoshynska et al. 2021 – Tsimoshynska, O., Koval, M., Kryshtal, H., Filipishyna, L., Arsawan, W.E. and Koval, V. 2021. Investing in road construction infrastructure projects under public-private partnership in the form of concession. Nauk. Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu, pp. 184–192, DOI: 10.33271/nvngu/2021-2/184.
Utility-Scale 2021. First Sol. [Online] [Accessed: 2021-02-21].
Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine 2020. About modification of some laws of Ukraine concerning improvement. Kyiv.
Viebahn et al. 2011 – Viebahn, P., Lechon, Y. and Trieb, F. 2011. The potential role of concentrated solar power (CSP) in Africa and Europe – A dynamic assessment of technology development, cost development and life cycle inventories until 2050. Energy Policy 39, pp. 4420–4430, 4421.
Wan et al. 2015 – Wan, C., Zhao, J., Song, Y., Xu, Z., Lin, J. and Hu, Z. 2015. Photovoltaic and solar power forecasting for smart grid energy management. CSEE J. Power Energy Syst. 1, pp. 38–46, DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2015.00046.
Wang et al. 2017 – Wang, Y., Luo, G. and Kang, H. 2017. Successes and Failures of China’s Golden-Sun Program, in: Proceedings of the 2017 6th International Conference on Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development (ICEESD 2017). Atlantis Press, pp. 585–606, DOI: 10.2991/iceesd-17.2017.109.
Wang et al. 2019 – Wang, Q., Chang, P., Bai, R., Liu, W., Dai, J. and Tang, Y. 2019. Mitigation strategy for duck curve in high photovoltaic penetration power system using concentrating solar power station. Energies 12(18), DOI: 10.3390/en12183521.
Weckend et al. 2016 – Weckend, S., Wade, A. and Garvin, H. 2016. End-of-life management: Solar Photovoltaic Panels. International Renewable Energy Agency.
Wróblewski et al. 2021 – Wróblewski, P., Drożdż, W., Lewicki, W. and Miązek, P. 2021. Methodology for Assessing the Impact of Aperiodic Phenomena on the Energy Balance of Propulsion Engines in Vehicle Electromobility Systems for Given Areas. Energies 14(8), DOI: 10.3390/en14082314.
Żelazna et al. 2020 – Żelazna, A., Gołębiowska, J., Zdyb, A. and Pawłowski, A. 2020. A hybrid vs. on-grid photovoltaic system: Multicriteria analysis of environmental, economic, and technical aspects in life cycle perspective. Energies 13(15), DOI: 10.3390/en13153978.